Pelosi leaves, time for Schumer and Jeffries to also go

Former speaker Nancy Pelosi has announced that she is not going to run for re-election to her San Francisco congressional seat in 2026. As speaker, while she was a shrewd tactician and had the skills to keep a boisterous caucus together on some major issues such as Obamacare and protecting some safety net issues, she was typical of the party’s old guard of neoliberals, very solicitous to Wall Street interests, unwilling to take on the oligarchy, or to make even the mildest criticisms of any atrocity that Israel committed. This made her out of step with the current generation and it was definitely time for her to go.
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Republicans flailing in the aftermath of Tuesday’s losses

As usually happens, the hot takes by the losers following a bad election loss like what Trump and the Republicans suffered on Tuesday tend to be somewhat extreme. Although they lost everywhere, it is Mamdani’s win that seems to have struck a real nerve and it is not hard to see why. The defeats in the governors races in Virginia and New Jersey, though by much larger margins than anyone expected, were to largely centrist candidates who did, however, lean into the fact that running against Trump was a good idea, something that Mamdani demonstrated throughout his surprising race that took him from 1% in the polls a year ago to winning over 50% of the vote on Tuesday. For example, 71% of people who voted for Mikie Sherrill for governor of New York Jersey said that it was a vote against Trump.

What must bother them is that Mamdani did not at all shy away from all the attempts to ‘other’ him, to make him look like ‘not one of us’. Instead he embraced it. As he said defiantly in his victory speech, “I am young … I am Muslim. I am a Democratic socialist. And most damning of all, I refuse to apologize for any of this.” Republicans are making a big mistake if they think that Mamdani won because of those qualities. New Yorkers may be more progressive than the nation as a whole but they are not that progressive. I think he won despite those things being a handicap and if Republicans focus on those things and don’t look closely at what made Mamdani’s message such a winning one that it neutralized all those deficits, they will be making a big mistake. Mamdani’s achievement was in seizing upon the issues that New Yorkers cared about and refusing to be sidetracked by attacks on his biography. Others could have done what he did but he was the one who saw the opening and seized it. The fact that he is charismatic and energetic and presents a vision of youthful energy and change undoubtedly helped.
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Voters give the finger to Trump and Republicans

Tuesday saw Democrats sweep the board in every election, winning easily even in races that were expected to be close or even where Republicans were expected to win.

The headline win was by Zohran Mamdani for mayor of New York City defeating Andrew Cuomo by 50% to 41%. The turnout was the highest since 1969 and Mamdani got over one million votes, the first person to do so. The total votes cast was two million, almost double the 1.1 million who voted in the last mayoral election four years ago, which shows extraordinary enthusiasm. Opponents had thrown everything at Mamdani, including the fact that he was a Muslim and saying he was a Communist. His outspoken condemnation of Israeli genocide earned him the enmity of the Israel lobby and AIPAC, who tried their hardest to defeat him. Also against him were the elites, those who live in the city as well as those who have business interests in the city but live in the wealthy enclaves on Long Island. They raised huge sums of money to try and stop him, and failed.

In his speech, Mamdani did not shy away from the socialist label, even quoting socialist Eugene Debs who said ‘I can see the dawn of a better day for humanity’. He had a message for Trump and defied his threats, saying “Hear me, President Trump, when I say this, To get to any of us, you will have to get through all of us.” He added, “The conventional wisdom would tell you that I am far from the perfect candidate… I am young, despite my best efforts to grow older, I am Muslim. I am a Democratic socialist. And most damning of all, I refuse to apologize for any of this.”
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The fall of a royal grifter

The man formerly known as Prince Andrew but in future will be just plain old Andrew Mountbatten Windsor, is undoubtedly a grifter, willing to trade on his title and the connections generated by his family connections to fund his greed and lust for a lavish lifestyle. But the public revelations of his association with the pedophile Jeffrey Epstein and his sexual relations with Virginia Roberts Giuffre, a young women whom Epstein offered to him and other men, has been too much for the current king who has set about cutting him loose from the family, at least publicly.

The entitled behavior of people like Windsor is usually something that is learned at an early age. It is said that he was the favorite child of the late queen who indulged him and protected him and partially funded his lifestyle, though his greed for even more led him into all manner of shady deals with shady people. Throughout his life, there have been questions about how he and his now ex-wife Sarah Ferguson funded their luxurious lifestyle, which includes the upkeep of the 30-room Royal Lodge described as “a Georgian mansion sitting in 40 hectares of secluded grounds in Windsor Great Park” for which he paid no rent, or in 2014 to buy for £18 million a chalet in Switzerland. On top of this was the lavish lifestyle that he enjoyed.
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Judges order that SNAP payments must continue

Two federal judges have ruled that SNAP (Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program) payments that assist low-income people to pay for food must continue despite the government shutdown. The program assists 42 million people, about one in eight of the population.

John McConnell, a US district judge in Providence, issued a temporary restraining order in the Rhode Island case at the behest of those plaintiffs. They had argued that the US Department of Agriculture’s suspension of Snap benefits due to kick in on Saturday was unlawful.
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In the Massachusetts case, the US district judge Indira Talwani in Boston gave the administration until Monday to say whether it would partly pay for the benefits for November with contingency money or fund them fully with additional funds.

The Trump administration maintains that the SNAP money will run out by November 1 unless Congress reconvenes and passes new appropriations.
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Jury nullification on the rise

I have written many times before about the practice known as jury nullification, where juries exercise their right to acquit people of violating a law even if they are plainly guilty. Juries do not have to give any reason for their action but the reason juries do this is usually because they feel that the law is unjust or was applied arbitrarily and punitively or that the accused had justifiable reasons for their actions. It was because of juries refusing to convict despite the evidence and the law that we now have basic freedoms like freedom of speech, of the press, of assembly, and free exercise of religion. I would strongly recommend reading this post from 2007 where I discuss how important this right of juries is and its history.

There have been other cases recently (see here, here, here, and here) that suggest that grand juries are becoming reluctant to indict people who have been targeted by Trump’s ICE thugs and department of justice. This is significant because usually grand juries proceedings are heavily slanted in favor of the prosecutor and juries tend to go along with whatever they want. There is an old joke that because of the low standard of proof required in grand juries, any prosecutor should be able to get a grand jury to indict a ham sandwich.

The fact that so many are refusing to do so is a good sign.
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Good and bad news in international politics

First the bad news.

In mid-term elections in Argentina, the party of president Javier Milei, a Trump fanboy, won a decisive victory. Trump had blatantly interfered in that election by promising that country a $40 billion bailout package if Milei’s party won and abandoning it if they lost. Typical thuggish threats from him. Unfortunately there are suggestions that this may well have swayed the outcome so Trump will try and repeat it elsewhere.

Milei’s libertarian party, La Libertad Avanza (Liberty Advances), captured nearly 41% of the vote – considerably higher than expected after a miserable spell of corruption scandals and growing economic crisis – compared with his Peronist rivals’ 32%. Argentina’s bonds, stocks and currency, the peso, surged on Monday as Milei celebrated what he called a vindication of his two-year-old “shock therapy” crusade.
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The US president had vowed to jettison his South American ally if, as widely predicted, the radical libertarian fared badly in Sunday’s make-or-break legislative vote. “If he doesn’t win, we’re gone,” Trump declared when Argentina’s shaggy-haired president visited him in Washington earlier this month to plead for economic help.

Milei’s political woes have been building in recent months, with growing public frustration over Argentina’s sluggish economy translating into market jitters and a pasting in Buenos Aires’ provincial election in September. Trump stepped in after that humiliating result, offering a $20bn (£15bn) currency swap deal and a further $20bn in support for an economy he claimed was “dying” – although the US president indicated such “generosity” would evaporate if Milei failed to win big on Sunday.

It is really quite astonishing how Trump can find such sums of money to dispose of seemingly at will.
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The possible real reason that Trump is angry about latest Chinese trade move

Trump is heading off today to attend the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit meeting in Seoul, South Korea. A lot of attention is being paid to the meeting of Trump with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on the sidelines of that meeting because it will be held in the aftermath of the latest flareup in the tariff war war between the to countries.

I blogged two weeks ago about how China, that usually does not initiate these things, did so in this case by placing restrictions on the export of rare-earth minerals that are vital in high technology. China has a dominant position in this area, since roughly 70 percent of rare earth mining, 90 percent of separation and processing, and 93 percent of magnet manufacturing, takes place in that country.

An enraged Trump immediately announced that he would impose 100% tariffs on all imports from China to the US and that he would also not meet with Xi during the summit. His treasury secretary Scott Bessent immediately tried to downplay fears of a new trade war escalation, saying that the two countries were engaged in trade talks. Trump then later said that the 100% tariffs would only be applied in November and that he would in fact likely meet with Xi after all to negotiate. Most people assumed that this was another case of TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) in action, with Trump threatening extreme actions and then backing down.
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Trump preparing military assault on Venezuela

It is becoming increasingly clear that Trump is preparing the ground for a direct military assault on Venezuela. This has been steadily building. There have long been sanctions against that country. Then we had allegations that drug gangs from that country are creating a national security threat to the US, which was used to justify attacks on at least eight small boats in the Caribbean that have killed at least 37 people, on the unsubstantiated claim that they were bringing drugs to the US. Even if true, such attacks would be a flagrant violation of international law. That this was a laughable proposition was made even more unbelievable by the fact that most of the drug flow to the US occurs via the Pacific Ocean, which Venezuela does not share a coast with. But hey, this is the US that doesn’t give a damn about upholding international law unless it is a perceived enemy country that violates it.

It may be that those attacks were an attempt to provoke the Venezuelan government to retaliate in some way so that a full-scale invasion could be justified. This is the standard practice of the US and also Israel. They attack people in their own homes and territories and when those people resist and fight back even in self-defense, they are charged with being terrorists and even harsher attacks follow.

Now we have Trump publicly saying that he has ordered the CIA to conduct covert strikes within the country which suggests that he does not know the meaning of the word covert or that the CIA’s mode of operation is to never acknowledge when and where it is operating. Trump has also ordered its largest aircraft carrier to head towards Venezuela, the clearest sign yet of plans for a potential invasion.
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