The Newt Solution


It never fails — a Republican leader always turns out to be an absolute idiot. Behold, Newt Gingrich’s plan for getting oil tankers past the Strait of Hormuz.

Instead of fighting over a 21-mile-wide bottleneck forever, we cut a new channel through friendly territory. A dozen thermonuclear detonations and you’ve got a waterway wider than the Panama Canal, deeper than the Suez, and safe from Iranian attacks.

Easy! Just nuke UAE and Oman put a chain of craters across them. Can you see any problems with that? Here’s a short summary.

Realistically, it would take three to five years to survey and map the canal, identify where to place the nuclear devices, prepare the route, and drill explosion wells. Add another one to two years for the actual detonations, blasting out millions of tons of sand and rock, and creating a trench 400 meters wide and 60 meters deep. Then it would take another five to ten years to complete the canal, including dredging, smoothing, lock construction, and the necessary “cool-down” period.

So, not an instant solution to the current crisis.

But even if feasible, it’s not practical. The experiments conducted nearly 70 years ago by the Americans and Soviets found that the fallout and radiation released into the atmosphere by even a few nuclear devices negated the time benefits. Moreover, the immediate zone – the canal being built – would remain so radioactive that it would make the passageway too dangerous to transit for decades.

Would that still be friendly territory after that kind of treatment?

Comments

  1. coffeepott says

    ugh i can’t believe this vile so-and-so is still among us.
    why would any decent human be willing to take advice from the guy who divorced TWO wives when they got sick?

  2. microraptor says

    Newt Gingrich is still alive?

    For some reason I thought he’d died years ago. Guess that was just wishful thinking.

  3. raven says

    If you are going to go to that effort, why not lay down an oil pipeline through that proposed canal route?

    Pump the oil out above the Strait of Hormuz, pump it through the pipeline that bypasses the Strait, and load up oil tankers nearer the Indian ocean.

    Pipelines are well established technology and they are everywhere.

  4. garnetstar says

    So, I am shrieking.

    This is the guy who single-handedly destroyed the tradition of “civility” in government and politics, and who brought us the current era of vicious hatred of the other political party.

    But, uh, what does “fallout and radiation released negates the time benefits” mean? Does that mean the usual thing, it makes nuking too expensive? Or, do they mean the cooling-off period is too long? Or, just fantasizing here, do they mean that the, oh, I don’t know, health and welfare of billions of people would be negatively affected?

    Fallout from any nuking, even smaller ones, does eventually make it to a whole lot of the rest of the world. I’ve seen estimates of how many deaths on the East Coast of America were due to fallout from the above-ground nuclear testing done in the west and southwest. And then, there was the day that all the farmers in Massachusetts had to dump their milk because too-high levels of radioactive iodine from Fukishima (that’s in Japan, you know) were found in it.

    So, yeah, I’d agree that “a dozen thermonuclear detonations” is probably not an optimum way to do civil engineering. In fact, I’m still shrieking.

  5. stuffin says

    Nukes can solve anything. Could you imagine if the power-hungry Trump used a nuke and realized the power he could wield.

  6. outis says

    Bububut are you telling me this drooling cretin is still alive? And he’s spouting crap about H-bombs to boot? Like Granpaw pudding-for-brains was suggesting be used as a remedy for hurricanes? What is it with Alzheimer sufferers and nuclear weapons, do they find them sexy or what?
    And BTW something similar was suggested by Edward Teller, he wanted to create a better ship route and port in Alaska, just five H-booms needed and Bob’s your uncle.
    That particular idea was regarded as “demented”, I hope nobody is going to roll out the warheads this time around, even in these times of runaway madness.

  7. says

    Even if this works out as easy-peasy as Gingrich seems to think it would, the “canal” would jut become another strategically-important shipping passage to be fought over. And the country that’s currently closing the old passage would have no problem thinking maybe they should close the new one too.

    Seriously, how stucking foopid does Gingrich think Iranians are?

  8. KG says

    A more practical Newt Solution: breed a large population of intelligent and trainable newts, and have each one carry a little bottle of oil on its back as it swims through the Strait of Hormuz.

    (Has anyone else read Karel Čapek’s War with the Newts? A brilliant SF satire, highly recommended.)

  9. KG says

    Could you imagine if the power-hungry Trump used a nuke and realized the power he could wield. – stuffin@5

    I reckon he’s just itching to do it. There were reports during his first term that he had asked why he couldn’t use them, and what was the point of having them if they weren’t used. At that time, he still had advisers (such as Jim “Mad Dog” Mattis – rather telling when perhaps the most rational member of the cabinet went by that soubriquet) who had some ability to restrain him; now he has surrounded himself completely with doormats, and according to some experts, is in the throes of fronto-temporal dementia, of which a main sympton is disinhibition. He has recently enjoyed boasting that, unlike previous presidents back to Carter, he has “dared” to attack Iran directly.

  10. garnetstar says

    LOL, Raging Bee @7, you’re quite right! Just another shipping passage to fight over and close, but this time, with added radioactivity!

    And, outis @6, yeah, Teller did suggest the H-bomb for civil engineering uses (did others say that that was demented? I didn’t know that.) IMO, Teller had a pathological need to convince himself that he wasn’t a deeply immoral hideous destroyer of human life for pushing so hard to create the H-bomb. That his brain-child had some peaceful uses.

    Alfred Nobel invented dynamite (that’s where he got the money), and he allegedly convinced himself (but, no one else) it would never be used as a weapon of war because that would be too horrific. Sigh.

  11. John Morales says

    KG, I saw this story 20 hours ago:

    All four living former US presidents deny Trump’s claim one of them privately endorsed his war on Iran
     
    After Donald Trump claimed twice on Monday that he had spoken to a former US president who told him that he approved of his attack on Iran, all four living former presidents denied having spoken with Trump about Iran in statements from aides to CNN and other outlets.

  12. says

    Here’s an alternative fantasy. He could always wait till hell freezes over. By then Iran might have the bomb and he can sub-contract the job to them by putting a US military base at each detonation site. He’d have to get approval from Netanyahu’s AI avatar and the 200th Ayatollah Khameini.

  13. birgerjohansson says

    KG @ 8
    Yay! Somebody else read that book!

    BTW I think the soviets tested a nuke to see if nukes could be used of excavation. The resulting crater lake is not healthy

  14. jenorafeuer says

    The Lawyers, Guns & Money article on this yesterday added an extra bit:

    Readers added context some potentially sobering context:

    **This proposal originates from a satirical article published the same day, presented as a humorous open letter with a disclaimer that its views “do not necessarily represent those of anyone with brain cells.” No such nuclear-excavated canal exists.** chinatalk.media/p/its-time

    This is the kind of negativity that Donald Trump’s spiritual guide Norman Vincent Peale considered fundamentally un-American.

  15. birgerjohansson says

    I looked at a map a couple of days ago. The isthmus is rocky so drilling a tunnel for a pipeline would be the better solution. But as already mentioned, that would just add more static targets well within the range of the Iranian stand-off weapons.
    .
    BTW more than one European nation is now negotiating with Iran. Japan is probably doing the same. It would be hilarious if convoys of tankers are allowed to go to those countries while Trump, Hegseth and Netanyahu are left stomping their feet and yelling.

  16. Pierce R. Butler says

    Apparently Gingrich remains plugged into the DC grapevine – and heard a Cabinet position will open up soon…

  17. numerobis says

    I guess you only get better when a witch turns you into a newt, not when you’re born as one.

  18. drdrdrdrdralhazeneuler says

    There was some discussion about doing this in Egypt in the 70s, see

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qattara_Depression_Project#Friedrich_Bassler

    As far as I’m aware, this proposal has been dropped, and now they’re working on classical waterways. The main current problem appears to be what to do with the resulting brine. I’d love to see the artificial sea created though. Perhaps it’s also financially feasible if they can manage to extract lithium.

  19. birgerjohansson says

    I see Newt -despite his dislike for monogamy- has ducked the HIV epidemic.
    And he is still welcome with the Christian right.

  20. says

    He makes me think of stereotypical depictions of cavemen. “Unga-bunga! Nukes hit thing hard! Hard better than weak! Life that simple!” This is an attitude that should not be given any consideration in our nuanced world. Same goes for Trump’s “creative” speculations on what nukes could be used for.

    Nuclear weaponry is not a toy, children.

  21. robro says

    I bet the proposed canal or pipeline would be closer to Iran than Tel Aviv. So close enough for Iran’s drones to hit it or parts of it.

  22. flex says

    KG @ 8, birgerjohansson @15,

    You are not alone. The more Čapek I read, the more I like his work. There’s a 1990 collection of his work called Toward the Radical Center which is a great introduction. But I think I’ve read everything I’ve been able to find in translation.

    Back in the 1980’s I was taught that India exploded one nuke as both a demonstration that they had developed nuclear capability and as a demonstration of a peaceful use of it. By collapsing a mountain into a ravine to create a water reservoir. I’ve never checked to see if the story was true though.

  23. John Morales says

    flex, it is not true.
    It was purely a demonstration, the talk about ‘peaceful uses’ was purely speculative.
    No reservoir, no mountain.

  24. CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says

    Alex Wellerstein (Nuclear historian, creater of NukeMap simulator):

    [Screenshots] here are my current model outputs for dimensions of craters dug by nuclear weapons at roughly optimized depths of burst. I’ve included the highest-yield US nuclear weapon currently deployed (B-83), and the 100 Mt Tsar Bomba. NYC for scale (sorry). […] I have assumed a sort of average ground/soil type—it varies depending on whether it is soil, rock, wet, dry, etc. But not in ways that dramatically change the picture […]

    The long and short of this is that the ability of nukes to destroy cities and contaminate areas is dramatically larger than their ability to dig holes… or canals.

    (My “new” model comes from Glasstone & Dolan, 1977, the Effects of Nuclear Weapons. It is not yet implemented in NUKEMAP, but is part of a new code library, the Atomic Weapons Effects Library, which will eventually be used for NUKEMAP, but is still in development. It’s getting there.)

    If you wanted to “just” dig out holes the width of the current Suez canal, you can get away with something as low as 50 kt […] each of which can dig a hole around 0.33 km / 0.2 miles in diameter. Here are some essentially arbitrary distances through UAE/Oman near the Straight. Obviously these are not well-planned as they go through cities. Divide any of these lengths by the diameters above to get the “simplest” number of nukes. E.g., 112 nukes for the shortest [23 mi/37 km]; 545 for the longest [112 mi/180 km].

    I know that these are not serious proposals, but I find it useful to put some numbers (however rough) to exactly how non-serious they are. (And also to point out, in really direct terms, how incorrect that “make a canal” app’s technical dimensions are—I don’t take issue with its satire, but its numbers are WAY off for crater digging)

    Cheryl Rofer (Retired nuclear scientist): “Alex actually knows what he is talking about. Unlike the instant experts who usually seem to be coder guys or lawyers.”

    [Satirical Browser Game] Nuke us a canal

  25. CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says

    birgerjohansson @15:

    BTW I think the soviets tested a nuke to see if nukes could be used of excavation. The resulting crater lake is not healthy

    BBC – The Soviet plan to reverse Siberia’s rivers with ‘peaceful nuclear explosions’

    To the west of Russia’s Ural Mountains lies a picturesque body of water called Nuclear Lake. […] about 690m (2,300ft) at its widest point […] To get to its shores, you have to pass rusting metal signs warning you are entering a “radiation danger zone” and that drilling and construction are forbidden. […]

    Nuclear Lake was formed on 23 February 1971 when the Soviet Union simultaneously fired three nuclear devices buried 127m (417ft) underground. The yield of each device was 15 kilotonnes (about the same as the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima in 1945). The experiment, codenamed “Taiga”, was part of a two-decade long Soviet programme of carrying out peaceful nuclear explosions (PNEs).

    In this case, the blasts were supposed to help excavate a massive canal to connect the basin of the Pechora River with that of the Kama, a tributary of the Volga. […] It would have diverted a significant flow of water destined for the Arctic Ocean to go instead to the hot, heavily populated regions of Central Asia and southern Russia.
    […]
    Despite Soviet efforts to minimise the fallout by using a low-fission explosive, which produce fewer atomic fragments, the blasts were detected as far away as the United States and Sweden
    […]
    Ultimately […] deemed a failure because the crater was not big enough. Although similar PNE canal excavation tests were planned, they were never carried out. In 2024, the leader of a scientific expedition to the lake announced radiation levels were normal. […] But blogger Fadeev says there were some places where the radiation was still significantly elevated—almost half a century after the blasts.

    Wikipedia – Pechora–Kama Canal

    Unlike most other parts of the grand river rerouting scheme, the Pechora to Kama route did not just stay on the drawing board. […] it was decided that building an entire canal in this fashion, using potentially several hundreds of nuclear charges, would not be feasible

    Wikipedia – Peaceful nuclear explosion

    The Soviet program started a few years after the U.S. efforts […] was more extensive, eventually conducting 239 nuclear explosions. Some of these tests also released radioactivity, including a significant release of plutonium into the groundwater and the polluting of an area near the Volga River. A major part of the program in the 1970s and 80s was the use of very small bombs to produce shock waves as a seismic measuring tool, and as part of these experiments, two bombs were successfully used to seal blown-out oil wells. The program officially ended in 1988.

  26. CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says

    flex @29:

    I was taught that India exploded one nuke as both a demonstration that they had developed nuclear capability and as a demonstration of a peaceful use of it. By collapsing a mountain into a ravine to create a water reservoir. I’ve never checked

    Wikipedia – Smiling Buddha

    India’s first successful nuclear weapon test on 18 May 1974. […] The device was of the implosion-type design […] Test type: Underground shaft
    […]
    The Indian Army was involved in the test preparations at the [army base] Pokhran Test Range in Rajasthan. […] India consistently maintained that this was a peaceful nuclear bomb test and that it had no intentions of militarising its nuclear programme […] Pakistan did not view the test as a peaceful nuclear explosion
    […]
    Though the test was carried out in an uninhabited area, the government compensated the residents of the villages […] which were within a five-kilometre radius […] According to a 2014 report, there were reported instances of crop failure and abnormal symptoms such as skin irritation, and burning of eyes in both humans and cattle in the aftermath of the blast. The villagers complained of an increase in the rate of cancers and genetic disorders in the years following the explosion.

    No mention of a mountain or reservoir. Subsequent tests were also underground shafts in that same desert site.

    Wikipedia – Pokhran

    situated in the Thar Desert region. Surrounded by rocks, sand and five salt ranges […] an average elevation of 233 metres (764 feet). […] There is nothing much to see in Pokhran. Tourists […] are not allowed near the nuclear test site.

    *Searches for photos of Thar Desert* Yep, whole lotta nothing.

  27. cheerfulcharlie says

    Leviticus 20:10 And the man that committeth adultery with another man’s wife, even he that committeth adultery with his neighbour’s wife, the adulterer and the adulteress shall surely be put to death.

    Stone Nutty The Newt! Adulterer, adulterer!

  28. John Morales says

    [OT]

    2 Samuel 11&12, cheerfulcharlie.

    Here is the ‘fix’:

    11 “This is what the Lord says: ‘Out of your own household I am going to bring calamity on you. Before your very eyes I will take your wives and give them to one who is close to you, and he will sleep with your wives in broad daylight. 12 You did it in secret, but I will do this thing in broad daylight before all Israel.’”
     
    13 Then David said to Nathan, “I have sinned against the Lord.”
    Nathan replied, “The Lord has taken away your sin. You are not going to die. 14 But because by doing this you have shown utter contempt for[c] the Lord, the son born to you will die.”

  29. badland says

    birgerjohansson @ 20

    Kent is a Nazi. He’s resigning because the States are too much in bed with The Jooz and perfidiously dragged Trump into an unwinnable war, he couldn’t give a toss about dead Iranians.

  30. francesconic says

    When both the US and the Soviet Union gave up on nuclear excavation during the cold war, because the leadership then thought it was a bad idea, you know it’s a bad idea.
    Here ids an idea. Work to repace crude oil with something locally produced loke green electricity.

  31. CompulsoryAccount7746, Sky Captain says

    Hehe, I was idly looking up Project Orion again and learned of Plumbbob.

    Wikipedia – Project Orion

    a nuclear pulse spaceship that would be directly propelled by a series of atomic explosions behind the craft
    […]
    the main unsolved problem for a launch from the surface of the Earth was thought to be nuclear fallout. […] Danger to human life was not a reason given for shelving the project. The reasons included lack of a mission requirement, the fact that no one in the U.S. government could think of any reason to put thousands of tons of payload into orbit

    Wikipedia – Operation Plumbbob

    Pascal A […] was lowered down a 500 ft (150 m) borehole […] the detonated yield turned out to be 50,000 times greater than anticipated, creating a jet of fire that shot hundreds of meters into the sky. During the Pascal-B nuclear test of August 1957, a 900-kilogram (2,000 lb) steel lid was welded over the borehole to contain the nuclear blast […] When Pascal-B was detonated, the blast went straight up the test shaft, launching the cap into the atmosphere. The plate was never found. In a conversation with Bill Ogle, Brownlee estimated its velocity as “six times the escape velocity from the Earth”—approximately 67.2 km/s (150,000 mph). Scientists believe compression heating caused the cap to vaporize as it sped through the atmosphere. A high-speed camera, which took one frame per millisecond, was focused on the borehole […] After the detonation, the plate appeared in only one frame.

  32. cartomancer says

    I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again – why are we listening to a man whose name sounds like a nasty disease suffered by amphibians?

  33. christoph says

    @ jenorafeuer, # 16: I saw the same thing a few days ago-that was from a satirical website, it’s not real. Gingrich is a horrible person, but he’s not as stupid as trump. I can see where people would believe it without checking, since most trump supporters are either idiots or cynical opportunists.

  34. birgerjohansson says

    Badland @ 37

    Arrgh. I am getting the impression all the true believers are nazis. The rest are opportunists who will do anything.

  35. Pierce R. Butler says

    Since y’all have stuck with this absurdity, please allow me to add another straw to the camel:

    Popping off a string of underground nukes in one of the most oil-rich regions of the world would also vaporize countless tons of petroleum, creating a Mother of Storms-like scenario of sudden massive greenhouse-gasification that would, at minimum, raise global sea levels high enough to drown every coastal city between Basra and Muscat (among other inconveniences).

    Newt Gingrich remains a fount of awesome imbecility.

  36. StevoR says

    If nothing else, the blockage of the Straits of Hormuz certainly further disproves the idea of Jewish Space Lasers!

    Becoz if they did exist, they sure woulda used them to carve a new canal or three getting around the Hormuz strait* by now!

    Why is the Straits of Hormuz plural not singular and why not Hormuz strait without the ‘of’?

  37. Silentbob says

    @ StevoR

    I don’t know where you’re getting that plural from dude. Only ever seen singular.

  38. John Morales says

    [OT]

    StevoR, that’s because there is but one (1) Strait of Hormuz.
    Whyever would one pluralise it?

    (It’s not Mounts Everest, is it?)

  39. StevoR says

    ^ John Morales & Silentbob : No.

    Not sure why now -think it was from hearing or maybe mishearing the TV / radio news. The ‘of” in it seems needless to me still – the Hormuz Strait would work better wouldn’t it?

  40. John Morales says

    “The Tower of London” vs. “London Tower” — guess which one is normative? l(

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