Tucker Carlson gives repellent parenting advice

Listen to what he said at a MAGA rally in Georgia

The audience at a Donald Trump rally in Georgia on Wednesday erupted into bizarre chants of “Daddy’s home!” and “Daddy Don!” after an extraordinary and borderline creepy and sexist speech by far-right personality Tucker Carlson likening the Republican presidential candidate to an angry father spanking his daughter.

This man is sick. Someone who fantasizes along these lines and speaks of it with such relish reveals himself to be deeply sadistic and misogynistic.

Carlson has three daughters. I wonder what they make of such utterances

Why US elections are so complicated and take so long

US election campaigns, especially for national offices like the presidency and both houses of Congress, are interminably long and absurdly expensive. This is partly a consequence of the fact that the date of the election is fixed (for federal offices they are held every even year on the day after the first Monday in November), which means that planning can be done a long time ahead. Furthermore, the almost complete absence of restrictions on the money that can be raised and spent (whatever flimsy restrictions there are are easily worked around) means that vast sums, billions of dollars, are involved, giving an outsize influence to wealthy individuals and organizations.

People in other countries are incredulous that elections in the US are run by the states and that each state largely makes its own rules, and these rules are determined sometimes by highly partisan state legislatures that seek to give an advantage to their own party. They do this as far as the law and the constitution allows but in the age of creepy Trump, they are sometimes willing to go over the line. In many other countries, elections are run by a central, largely non-partisan, body. The reason for the state variability in the US goes way back to the origins of US that required the 13 colonies that had been separate entities to join together to form a single nation. Since each colony had been operating largely independently of the others, they jealously guarded their autonomy as much as possible and thus gave as little power to the central government as they could. Hence we have this patchwork of systems. One argument in its favor is that it allows for innovation in that each state can be a laboratory to try out different ways of doing things and, hopefully, the ones that works best may be copied by others.
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Biden proposes free birth control and condoms

Joe Biden is showing that he is not going out quietly. His administration has announced a new proposal that would have private insurance companies provide free birth control pills and condoms to all the people they insure.

Millions of people with private health insurance would be able to pick up over-the-counter methods like condoms, the morning-after pill and birth control pills for free under a new rule the White House proposed on Monday.

Right now, health insurers must cover the cost of prescribed contraception, including prescription birth control or even condoms that doctors have issued a prescription for. But the new rule would expand that coverage, allowing millions of people on private health insurance to pick up free condoms, birth control pills or morning-after pills from local storefronts without a prescription.
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“The proposed rule we announce today would expand access to birth control at no additional cost for millions of consumers,” the health and human services secretary, Xavier Becerra, said in a statement. “Bottom line: women should have control over their personal health care decisions. And issuers and providers have an obligation to comply with the law.”

The emergency contraceptives that people on private insurance would be able to access without costs include levonorgestrel, a pill that needs to be taken immediately after sex to prevent pregnancy and is more commonly known by the brand name “Plan B”.

Without a doctor’s prescription, women may pay as much as $50 for a pack of the pills. And women who delay buying the medication in order to get a doctor’s prescription could jeopardize the pill’s effectiveness since it is most likely to prevent a pregnancy within 72 hours after sex.

If implemented, the new rule would also require insurers to fully bear the cost of the once-a-day Opill, a new over-the-counter birth control pill that the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved last year. A one-month supply of the pills costs $20.

Expect Republicans, evangelicals, and the Catholic church to go ballistic about this. Their long-term goal is to prevent anyone having sex other than within the framework of heterosexual marriage, and even then only for the purpose of procreation. This move goes completely counter to that.

I do not know if this move requires congressional approval, which would be tough to get.

What to expect in this election

We are just two weeks away from election day on November 5th. I of course do not know who will win the presidency, although I am cautiously optimistic that Kamala Harris will. But that does not count for much since I am an optimistic person by nature, tending to look for hopeful signs that the future will be better than the past, even if the odds are against it.

The national polls have been showing a small but steady lead for Harris ever since the beginning of August. When Joe Biden dropped out on July 21 and the Democratic party quickly coalesced around Harris, there was a surge in enthusiasm for her, with massive numbers of volunteers signing up and huge campaign contributions that rapidly erased the lead that creepy Donald Trump had had up to that point. People tend to expect trends to continue indefinitely but they don’t, and when the support for Harris predictably plateaued, it felt to some observers that her campaign was losing steam when it wasn’t. What we were seeing is a new equilibrium state with Harris that is much better than the previous equilibrium state when Biden was the presumptive nominee.
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Creepy Trump fixates on the weirdest things

For some inexplicable reason, creepy Donald Trump fixates on the strangest things, like toilets, dishwashers, sharks, windmills, and so on. When it comes to Kamala Harris, he tried to make an issue out of whether she in Black or Asian. That did not catch on. Then he tried to make out that she is really stupid and has a low IQ. That did not catch on either. Now creepy Trump has decided that Kamala Harris’s claim that she worked at McDonalds when she was young is false because it does not say so in her resume, and that this should somehow be disqualifying. He has become obsessed with this and speaks about it frequently.
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If Harris wins and faces a Republican senate

Even if Kamala Harris wins the presidency, there is a distinct possibility that the Senate might have a Republican majority of 51-49. This would be the first time a newly elected Democratic president faced a Republican Senate since Grover Cleveland was elected in 1884 and that was a very different time where the party labels signified different things from what they do now and members were not so rigid in their party allegiances.

So what challenges would Harris face in that eventuality?

Harris’ first task will be getting the Cabinet confirmed. This could require at least one Republican vote for each nominee, and that Republican might just ask for something in return. The most likely Republican crossover is Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). Unfortunately for Harris, her state’s biggest industry is oil and she might demand that Harris cut out all this talk of getting rid of fossil fuels as the price for her votes. Another possibility is Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME). Her state’s biggest industries are fishing, logging, and farming. That could prove easier, especially since she is up in 2026 and Murkowski is not. The Green New Deal does not threaten the profits of the lobster industry.

Since cabinet appointments never expire, Harris could keep any current secretaries indefinitely, and possibly move them to new posts. She could also appoint acting secretaries for a limited amount of time. A real Hail Mary play would be for Biden to appoint Harris’ choices in December and have the current Senate ram them through in a lame duck session, but that would really poison the well.

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Is creepy Trump courting the bro vote?

Creepy Donald Trump]s rhetoric has become more unhinged over the last few months, something that even observers already jaded by his repeated ridiculous claims have noticed.

But a new element has appeared and that is that he has become more profane and lewd in his public speeches.

Donald Trump has pivoted to making his closing argument to voters heading into the final stretch of his race for the White House.

Or so his campaign said Saturday as the former president took the stage in Latrobe, Pennsylvania.

But shortly after walking out following a pro wrestler’s entrance music, Trump swiftly veered into a rambling anecdote about the late Arnold Palmer, the golfing legend after whom the local airport was named. The story, which seemed to serve little purpose beyond invoking a regional icon and which lasted nearly 15 minutes, included tangents on Palmer’s immense wealth and several offhand remarks about the Hall of Famer’s naked body.
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Why are baby seals white?

I was reading something about jigsaw puzzles that reminded me of a very difficult puzzle I did a long time ago that consisted of a white baby seal on an ice floe. Almost the entire puzzle was shades of white with just the seal’s eyes and nose being black. The image below is not from the puzzle but you can see why such a puzzle would be difficult.

While thinking about it, I was reminded of the cruel practice of killing baby seals, usually by beating their heads in with clubs, because their white fur is valuable.
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Kamala Harris and the Black male voter

There has been some anxiety among Democrats that creepy Donald Trump has made inroads with Black men, resulting in fewer of them supporting Kamala Harris than Joe Biden in 2020. There has been speculation that Black and Hispanic men may be finding that creepy Trump’s aggressive macho posturing, however phony and condescending it may seem to us, may be striking a chord within those two demographics.

Jelani Cobb looks at the data more closely. He says that back in 2016, progressives blamed white women, who might have been expected to be highly enthused about the idea of the first female president, for not voting is sufficient numbers for Hillary Clinton ,and that this time, similar attention is being paid to Black men.

In the traumatic wake of the 2016 contest, progressives blamed white women, more than fifty per cent of whom, initial reports alleged, had voted for Donald Trump, compared with forty-three per cent for Hillary Clinton. (Subsequent analysis revealed the numbers to be closer to forty-seven per cent for Trump and forty-five for Clinton, but it was still a win.) This year, Black men have come under special scrutiny as the potential weak link.

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DeSantis anti-abortion effort gets smacked down by judge

Florida has an important vote on election day, and that is Amendment 4 that seeks to protect the right to abortion. Florida Republicans had pushed through a law banning abortions after six-weeks, which is effectively a total ban. The Amendment seeks to allow abortions until fetal viability, which is around 22-24 weeks. (I have written about this before.)

Supporters of Amendment 4 had put out the following ad.

Florida’s health department issued an order to TV stations not to air the ads because it was false, since they claim that the law does permit abortions in medical emergencies. But doctors are fearful of doing so under almost any circumstances because the law about exceptions is vague. If TV stations aired the ad, they were threatened with a second-degree misdemeanor, “which carries a sentence of up to 60 days imprisoned or a fine of up to $500.”
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