According to NASA, October was the hottest month of record. But what is more, it surpassed the baseline temperature NASA uses that is based on the 30-year average period from 1951-1980 by more than a whopping one degree Celsius. Such a huge jump has never happened before.
There is now a 99.9% probability that 2015 will be the warmest year on record, beating the previous best that was set just last year. Having back-to-back record-breaking years is disturbing as is the fact that 13 of the 15 hottest years have occurred in the period 2000-2015.
That news comes amid a flurry of other climate milestones: The year is likely to finish with global temperatures at about 1°C above preindustrial levels, halfway past the stated international goal of limiting temperature rise to no more than 2°C from that baseline. International climate talks are scheduled to begin later this month in Paris to hammer out an agreement toward that goal.
Carbon dioxide levels are also currently drifting back above 400 parts per million, possibly never to dip back down again for the foreseeable future as a strong El Niño event lends the buildup of the greenhouse gas an extra push.
But winter is approaching in the northern hemisphere and soon there will be snow and the occasional blizzard, thus enabling our idiot congresspersons to bring a snowball into the House of Representatives to refute the idea that global warming is a real threat and for letters to newspapers yukking it up about these silly climate alarmists. After all, who are you going to believe, your eyes or pointy-headed scientists with the ‘data’ and ‘theories’ and ‘climate models’ and ‘charts’?
busterggi says
Even if there is no snow anywhere in the lower 48 the Repubs will just shout “Benghazi” and their sheep won’t notice.
Lofty says
Tell me about it. My southern hemisphere city of Adelaide hit 40C yesterday, the month’s average maximum is around 26C.
anat says
No regression to the mean when it is an ongoing trend.
Johnny Vector says
Well if the typical El Niño year pattern holds, there’s a very good chance we won’t get any significant snow in DC. Then Inhofe will have to bring back a snowball from some ski area with snow-making machines.
The real question is what line will replace the “no warming since 1998” slogan. I’m going to guess “it’s only so hot because of El Niño”. But it might just revert to “the thermometers are wrong”.
Menyambal says
Yeah, that “freakish” cold weather that everybody was pointing at last winter, that weather was normal when I was a kid. We used to go down to the pond and slide on the ice, some winters, but I haven’t seen anybody doing that here since the ’80s. The “evidence” against global warming is the fact that we have all gotten used to it.
StevoR says
NOAA has followed NASA & the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) confirming the planetary overheating and inparticular that October was the hottest month globally ever recorded in human history.
See : http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2015/11/18/noaa-october-warmest-on-record/
Last week was also & not co-incidentally -- probably the last week in our lives (& our childrens and grandchildrens if we have them) with atmospheric CO2 levels below 400 ppm.
See : http://blogs.agu.org/mountainbeltway/2015/11/09/the-final-days-of-sub-400-ppm-carbon-dioxide/
Which is pretty worrying when you realise that pre-Industrial levels of C02 were 280 pmm and the Ice age minim level was 180 pmm as seen here :
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UatUDnFmNTY
Its been 40 degrees yesterday and 35 degrees today (Celsisus -- 104 & 95 Fahrenheit for the Americans here) where I live, 24 C (75 F) overnight here and with the smell of smoke from bushfires in the night air and people dying and homes lost in neighbouring state of Western Australia from other bushfires there (near Esperence) -- and we still haven’t officially started summer yet. (Our Dec -- Jan -- Feb) The implications and trends here are seriously grim.
Tabby Lavalamp says
Weather isn’t climate, but here in Edmonton we just got our first significant snowfall of the season last night. That is freakishly late.