The strange saga of the Epstein files


I have not written much about the Epstein files and the recently released trove of emails between Jeffrey Epstein and Trump and other various well-known people because it is being covered so extensively in the media. Susan Glasser writes in The New Yorker that the Epstein emails are becoming a chronic problem for Trump.

On Capitol Hill, the Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, kept the chamber in recess from mid-September to mid-November in what seemed to be a transparent effort to block a vote on releasing the Justice Department files. This, I’ve long thought, should have been more of a scandal in its own right—Congress closing for business for weeks and weeks because a Speaker was running interference on behalf of a President who didn’t want more details to emerge of his dealings with a sleazy dead rich guy who had sex with underage women on his private island? How was that not a bigger deal?

But, in order to end the longest-ever government shutdown, Johnson had to give in this week and order the House to return to work. That meant swearing in a new Democratic member who had won a special election in September; she quickly became the two-hundred-and-eighteenth signatory of the discharge petition that will now force Johnson to hold a floor vote on releasing the files.

Given how bad this already looks, I am puzzled by Trump and his supporters going to such desperate lengths to prevent the release of the so-called Epstein files, to the extent that the Trump team is pressurizing congressional supporters Lauren Boebert and Nancy Mace to remove their names from the discharge petition to be voted on by the House of Representatives this coming Tuesday.

Under the current GOP plan, the House Rules Committee would approve a procedural measure Monday night to advance eight bills for floor consideration, including language to tee up the Epstein legislation. If that measure is approved on the floor, likely early Tuesday afternoon, debate and a final vote on the Epstein bill could immediately follow. GOP leaders are considering whether to postpone the Epstein vote until Tuesday evening.

Trump has also attacked Marjorie Taylor Greene, who used to be one of his most loyal supporters, so harshly even calling her a traitor and a lunatic, that she says that she has received threats from his supporters.

Trump has also attacked GOP congressperson Thomas Massie, who has been one of the leaders of the move to release the files. The vote has to be passed by the House and then the Senate and, if that happens, then vote to override a certain Trump veto, which would require a two-thirds majority in both houses. Massie says that he expects enough Republicans to vote in favor that it would be veto-proof. He also says that ht thinks that Trump’s poodle as attorney general Pam Bondi re-opening investigations into the Epstein files may be a smokescreen in order to delay the release.

The motion directs the department of justice to release the files, so presumably that is the agency that has them. But who are the people in the agency who know its contents? Trump has to know, of course. But the investigations into Epstein have been over many years, stretching back into the Biden years. So there have to be a lot of people, both political appointees and career people, who have at least some idea of what it contains.

There are several things that puzzle me. One is why so many Republicans are eager to have the files released, since it is assumed that it will be damaging to Trump and they are generally either deeply loyal to him or are afraid of him. Have they suddenly developed a desire for exposing the abuses of a pedophile and bringing the abusers to justice? Are they just curious to find out? Or do they think that there will be damaging information on Democrats as well?

Also, how much worse can the files be for Trump than what the emails have shown? What might they contain? What puzzles me is that we have long known that Trump’s attitudes towards women is appalling. The Epstein reporting so far shows that he did not have any problems consorting with a known pedophile and enjoyed having young women and girls parading around in Epstein’s residences skimpy attire. They haven’t revealed that Trump did anything more than ogle them. Trump’s cult followers largely do not seem to care. So what could the files contain that warrants such attempts at secrecy?

Perhaps they contain incriminating photographic and/or video evidence of abuse. But if we want to indulge in deep tactical speculation, it may also be that the Trump team are going to great lengths to suppress the release of the files knowing that that will create major expectations that they contain bombshell revelations. Then when they reveal just more of the same things we have heard so far, people will be disappointed, shrug their shoulders, and move on, rather than demanding action on the abuses they reveal.

But I don’t really know and can only speculate.

Troy Iwata of The Daily Show points to one feature of the Epstein emails that has been largely overlooked.

Comments

  1. JM says

    One of the reasons that Trump might want to keep the files buried is that they contain evidence of something other then child abuse. There are a bunch of other cases that Trump might have talked to Epstein about. It has already come out that Epstein was talking to the Russians about Trump. Imagine if the files has proof of some Russiagate related accusation. It wouldn’t even have to be an existing national issue. Imagine if Trump had talked to Epstein about false information on the application to open a golf course or faked something while buying Maralago. That would give the government of the area grounds to take it back from Trump, something he would hate.
    As for why the Republicans in general are so determined, a bunch of them are likely getting pressure from Republican party voters. Remember a bunch of them buy into every child abuse conspiracy that comes along. These are people that bought into the Rocket Pizza thing after all. When given an obvious real case of the government suppressing child abuse information they are doggedly sticking with it.

  2. says

    I don’t see how this petition is going to work. As I understand it (and please correct me if I’m wrong), from the House, it goes to the Senate. If it passes there, it then goes on to the WH for the president’s signature. But tRump will never sign it, which means that it will go back to Congress for an override vote, but there does not seem to be sufficient votes for that to be successful. All tRump will do is refuse to sign it with some lie about national security or some such (and for him, it’s a good bet that his definition of what’s good for national security is what’s good for him). He’ll continue to lie about it, it will get dragged out, and nothing will happen. He’s followed that plan over and over, and often with success (unfortunately, for anyone else involved).

  3. flex says

    One is why so many Republicans are eager to have the files released, since it is assumed that it will be damaging to Trump and they are generally either deeply loyal to him or are afraid of him. Have they suddenly developed a desire for exposing the abuses of a pedophile and bringing the abusers to justice?

    If you are referring to Republican elected officials, I think you can count out the last option. They have no moral imperative to hunt pedophiles.

    However, I believe that a lot of Republican congress-critters are not really MAGA, but are along for the ride. I suspect that many of them realize that they have mounted a tiger who might turn on them at any minute. The Epstein files may be seen by many congress-critters as a possible way to dismount without becoming a target. For many of them, particularly Vance, they are probably calculating that anything which reduces Trump’s influence will leave space for their own influence to grow. They may have ridden on Trump’s coat-tails to get elected, but to stay in office they will need to avoid being tied too closely to Trump. Because MAGA, and Trump himself, so strongly stressed the need to release all information about Epstein, it is easy for a congress-critter to say that they are only following what their constituents, party, and even Trump himself have been pushing for. Further, there is a high probability that many of the congress-critters who are thinking of voting to release the Epstein files know that they are not implicated by them. They were not sufficiently powerful enough to get an invitation by Epstein, so they know they are not exposed. But they may suspect that longer serving members of their party were important enough to have received invitations. Exposing those who associated with Epstein would possibly leave a leadership vacuum which they could fill.

    In other words, the desire by individual Republicans to release the files may be explained by an inclination to put their own self-interest ahead of their party.

  4. dangerousbeans says

    I don’t exactly why republicans would be wanting to release this information, but it does give them a way to discredit Trump without discrediting his core ideas. Trump is bad PR overall for Republicans, and some have clearly realised this. This is a way to remove him and return to the more “respectable” racist shitheads

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